Trade War

The U.S. trade war with China is not an isolated phenomenon unique for our times. Similar events have been taking place every 493 years, the length of the Neptune/Pluto cycle. Every time, Neptune and Pluto formed a septile (51.4°, 1/7 of the circle), aging superpowers, such as the U.S., attempted to reassert themselves, while new superpowers, such as China, attempted to continue their rapid expansion. Every Neptune/Pluto septile in the past marked wars between aging and emerging superpowers with negative consequences to both. All these wars ended in a draw resulting in a decline of aging superpowers, while emerging superpowers stopped expanding. Fortunately for us, a shooting war between the U.S. and China will not take place. In 1989, the world has entered the New Era of Globalization, and the wars between superpowers similar to those taking place in the previous centuries will not rage for the whole duration of this new era, which will last for another eight hundred years. So, the results of these trade wars are quite predictable. The U.S. will not Become Great Again. It may only be able to temporarily postpone the inevitable. Jobs will always go to where labor is cheaper, and capital will always flow to where profits are higher. As a result of this trade war, America’s influence on the world affairs will continue declining, while China’s economic expansion will slow down significantly. Even though Chinese economy will surpass the U.S. economy in a few decades, China will never dominate the world. Instead, together with the U.S. it will lead the world into the New World Order of economic cooperation, peaceful co-existence and abolition of all borders between the nations. It may take eight centuries however.

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